Loading…
Feeder and fed cattle prices rose through early 2023 and reached record nominal levels, supported by reduced supplies and stable beef demand. The author notes that inflation-adjusted prices remain below the 2013-2015 peak.
Rising interest rates and labor costs are squeezing producer margins.
Reduced cattle supplies keep prices supported, but higher borrowing costs and inflation erode feeding and packing margins, which can limit demand for feed and slow placements.
morningagclips.comKyleApr 30, 2023After 28 past bullish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.9%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 21 past bullish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
