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Investment managers at Aberdeen and Schroders are adding short positions on the Australian dollar, expecting it to fall toward 70 US cents over 12 months. They cite Fed rate hikes, a record-low RBA rate, falling iron ore prices and slowing Chinese growth.
Expectations of a weaker Aussie and softer commodity prices, notably iron ore, signal headwinds for Australian commodity exporters. This is market sentiment rather than a physical supply or demand change for feed ingredients.
macrobusiness.com.auHouses, HolesJan 28, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
