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MacroBusiness argues it is not yet time to short the US dollar, noting Goldman has turned bullish and Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech stressed a lengthy period of restrictive policy. The firm flags upcoming US payrolls and CPI releases as key events for the Fed path.
Expectations of sustained Fed tightening support a firmer dollar, which typically pressures US commodity export prices and dollar-denominated feed ingredients.
macrobusiness.com.auHouses, HolesAug 29, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
