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Thai rice exporters say a strengthening baht is eroding their competitiveness and may keep 2018 shipments below the earlier forecast of 9.5 million tonnes. Exporters have asked the government to help offset the currency impact.
A stronger baht makes Thai rice dearer in dollar terms, which can reduce export demand and weigh on Asian rice prices.
After 16 past bearish macro events, RICE moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -5.1% to +1.7%), and +4.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.