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The USDA October crop production report lowered harvested soybean acreage by 514,000 acres, cutting production by 3 million bushels to 4.689 billion. Yield was raised to 53.1 bushels per acre.
Projected 2018-19 ending stocks rose 40 million bushels to 885 million.
Higher projected ending stocks signal a looser U.S. soybean balance, which pressures soybean and soymeal prices despite the slightly smaller crop.
doi.orgTodd Hubbs, Hubbs, ToddJan 1, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
