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TDS strategist Bart Melek attributes much of the commodity rally since late 2016 to the falling US dollar and late-cycle speculative buying. He also notes a sharp drop in US crude inventories from their record high.
A weaker dollar and tighter crude inventories support commodity prices, which can raise input costs for feed producers.
octaafrica.netJan 29, 2018After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
