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U.S. Commodities president Don Roose says northern Brazil's soybean harvest is about 3% behind normal but forecast weather should help. He expects soybean output could rival last year's record above 114 million tonnes.
He also warned Brazil's safrinha corn could come in 2 to 3 million tonnes below the latest USDA estimate, with acreage likely lower.
Expectations of a large soybean crop are bearish for soy and meal, while a possible shortfall in Brazilian safrinha corn would support corn prices.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampJan 23, 2018After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
