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Grain futures climbed after delayed planting was confirmed and more wet weather was forecast for the U.S. Midwest. Analysts also said fund short positions were being unwound, while USDA data showed large global soybean supplies.
Wet weather delaying planting raises the risk to yields and supports corn, soybean and wheat prices, though large global stocks limit the upside for soybeans.
manitobacooperator.caGFM Network News, Glen HallickMay 15, 2019After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fund short unwinding and wet forecasts in the prior week set up positioning for a sharp rebound.
