
Dry weather across the Prairies has led buyers to aggressively bid for feed grains ahead of a third consecutive dry summer. Saskatchewan pasture and hay moisture is rated 95% short to very short.
Feed barley trades at C$200-280/tonne, feed wheat at C$260-270, and oats near C$4/bu.
Drought-driven demand for feed grains from tight supplies is lifting feed prices, which raises costs for livestock feeders.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 68 past bullish weather events, Oats moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.