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The USDA's February WASDE report lowered U.S. soybean exports, and the market responded bullishly according to a Zaner Group strategist. Corn exports rose 125 million bushels, pulling corn ending stocks lower, while wheat export demand was cut by 25 million bushels.
A cut to soybean exports would normally be bearish, but the bullish market reaction shows traders focused on tighter corn supplies and wheat's Plains drought. Feed buyers should watch how these balance-sheet shifts pass through to meal and grain costs.
iowaagribusinessradionetwork.comStaff EditorFeb 8, 2018After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
