
The International Energy Agency said US oil output growth is extraordinary and could match global demand growth in 2018. It projects the US could overtake Saudi Arabia and Russia as the largest producer by year-end.
Strong US supply growth that may outpace demand could build inventories and pressure crude prices. Lower crude costs also reduce diesel and fuel expenses for the feed supply chain.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.