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CME lean hogs hit a four-month low as US stocks fell on trade war fears after Trump signed a memorandum that could impose tariffs on up to $60 billion of Chinese imports. USDA data showed February pork stocks up 6% month over month and 8% year over year.
Tariff threats on China, a top-five pork importer, together with heavy pork stocks point to lower hog prices and reduced export demand for US pork.
country-guide.caReutersMar 22, 2018After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated on the move day, it reports CME lean hogs hitting a four-month low on trade war fears after Trump's tariff memorandum, plus bearish USDA pork stocks data (+6% m/m, +8% y/y), which hit sentiment and added supply pressure.
