
The rand weakened 0.63% to 12.05 per dollar on Friday as renewed US-China trade tensions and signs of a slowing South African economy weighed on sentiment. Trump had directed officials to identify tariffs on $100 billion more of Chinese imports, and Beijing vowed to respond.
Escalating US-China tariffs threaten soybean and grain trade flows and pressure emerging-market currencies, reinforcing risk-off conditions that can weigh on commodity demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.