
Wood Mackenzie estimates global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to $60 billion annually from 2020 when the IMO's 0.5% sulfur cap takes effect in full compliance. Shippers may switch to low-sulfur fuels such as MGO or install scrubbers, and switching to MGO could raise freight rates by about $1 a barrel.
Higher low-sulfur marine fuel costs from 2020 are likely to lift ocean freight rates, raising the landed cost of imported feed ingredients.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.