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Researchers are studying Fusarium head blight in oats, which can reduce yield and quality when weather favours the disease, as in the Prairies in 2016. Surveys in Manitoba and Saskatchewan track the disease and test for mycotoxins that affect food and feed safety.
Mycotoxin risk affects oat quality and feed-grade acceptance, but this is background research with no immediate supply shock.
After 16 past disease events, Oats moved a median +2.3% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.7% to +4.3%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.