The International Grains Council reported that wheat export prices weakened earlier in the season on large supplies, then firmed on poor US winter wheat weather. HRW Gulf export values rose $5 to $225 a tonne while SRW fell to $181.
Global wheat supplies remain well stocked, which limits price gains even as US weather concerns build. Currency shifts continue to affect export competitiveness among origins.
After 406 past neutral report events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, KWHEAT moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.