Current season wheat stock rises, coarse grains stocks fall: USDA

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Oct 1, 2025USDA Grain Stocks Report Surprises Corn and Wheat - RFD+0.6%
• Nov 11, 2019Wheat crops bigger, corn smaller, mirroring stock outlooks: USDA - Grain Central+2.9%
• Jul 15, 2019Black Sea origins set for fast start to export season: USDA - Grain Central-0.5%
• Jul 24, 2020Wheat stock record, US maize trimmed: IGC - Grain Central+0.7%
• Jan 15, 2026USDA raises projections for US, global wheat ending stocks | World Grain-1.3%

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• May 11, 2018Record grain consumption drives stocks down : USDA - Grain Central-0.1%
• Nov 11, 2019Wheat crops bigger, corn smaller, mirroring stock outlooks: USDA - Grain Central-1.0%
• Jul 24, 2020Wheat stock record, US maize trimmed: IGC - Grain Central-1.9%
• Jun 19, 2018Wheat/barley price prospects on the rise; oilseeds to fall: ABARES - Grain Central-0.9%
• Sep 30, 2024USDA Releases Sept. 1 Grain Stocks, Small Grains Summary Reports+1.0%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.