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Rabobank's Brazil Agribusiness Quarterly expects Brazil's soybean crop at 114 million tonnes, matching the 2016/17 record. It forecasts summer corn output of 25 million tonnes, the lowest in 20 years, on the smallest planted area since 1976.
Attention shifts to the safrinha crop, whose planting is delayed versus 2017.
A record soybean crop boosts Brazilian meal and export supply, while a very small summer corn crop tightens domestic corn supply and puts the safrinha crop in focus for prices.
foodagribusiness.worldEmmy KoelemanApr 11, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
