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A Caixin opinion piece argues the yuan is behaving more like a safe-haven currency, appreciating about 6% against the dollar since mid-2017 and rising in risk-averse periods. The CFETS basket index also gained more than 4%.
A yuan that does not simply track the dollar reduces the pass-through of dollar strength into Chinese import costs, so currency alone is unlikely to drive feed commodity prices.
caixinglobal.comXu XiaoqingMay 10, 2018After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
