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Flooding in Argentina destroyed a record 1.6 million hectares of soybean plantings, with heavy rain over 25 days hitting the harvest. Soybean prices entered a bull market and hedge funds raised their bullish bets to the highest since April 2014.
Major crop losses in the third-largest soybean exporter reduce global export availability and support soybean and meal prices.
esmmagazine.comSteve Wynne-JonesMay 10, 2016After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
