
An University of Minnesota extension agronomist says high soybean yields are still attainable for Midwestern farmers finishing planting. Soybeans can still reach 90 to 95 percent of top-end yield through mid-May, but yield potential then declines about half a percent per day until June 1.
Yield potential slipping after mid-May is a modest supply concern that can support soybean prices if planting delays persist. The effect is gradual and mostly priced in.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.