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Soybeans fell on August 15, 2023, on profit taking and technical selling despite a higher USDA good-to-excellent rating. Forecasts called for a return to hot, dry weather in parts of the Midwest.
NOPA reported a larger-than-expected July crush of 173.3 mbu.
Expected heat could stress soybeans during key development phases and lower yields, which is supportive for prices. Strong crush demand and margins also support soybeans, but the near-term price effect was offset by selling.
brownfieldagnews.comAug 15, 2023After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
