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USDA's Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook says slower processor demand for hogs, soft domestic pork demand and Mexican tariff adjustments will weigh on second-half hog prices. Packer margins in May averaged about $15/cwt, nearly 29% below a year earlier, and third- and fourth-quarter hog prices are forecast 19% and 17% below 2017.
Weaker packer demand and lower hog prices reduce the value of hogs and pork, pointing to a bearish outlook for hog-based feed demand and lean hog futures in the second half.
meatingplace.comSusan KellyJun 22, 2018After 159 past bearish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
