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UOB Kay Hian's plantation research says crude palm oil fell to a new low of US$577/tonne, down 23% from its February peak, as US-China tariffs weighed on soyoil and palm exports fell in early June. The broker maintains a market weight rating.
Weak palm prices and a widening PO-GO spread could lift discretionary biodiesel demand and support palm oil over the longer term, while near-term export weakness keeps pressure on prices.
research.sginvestors.ioSGinvestorsJun 21, 2018After 1,802 past trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
