COFCO closed a soybean and sunflower oil refining plant in Buenos Aires, citing weak local demand, unfavorable market conditions and idle capacity. Argentina is in recession, and its currency has lost half its value over the past year.
COFCO will focus on sourcing and crushing oilseeds for export.
Closing a refinery removes domestic refined oil demand in Argentina, which may leave more crude oil available for export. This could add pressure on soybean oil prices while crushing export volumes are unaffected.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.