China will remove import tariffs on soybeans, soymeal, soybean cake, rapeseed and fishmeal from Bangladesh, India, Laos, South Korea and Sri Lanka starting July 1. The move comes as China seeks to reduce its reliance on US soybeans amid the trade war.
Duty-free access shifts Chinese feed-ingredient buying toward Asian suppliers, reducing demand for US soybeans and supporting prices for Indian fishmeal and meal exporters.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 224 past neutral trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.2%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.