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Grains closed higher on May 3 with follow-through buying in soybeans and meal as Brazil faced heavy rain and flooding in Rio Grande do Sul, while central Brazil's safrinha corn faced hot, dry weather. July corn rose beyond 460 cents for the first time since early February as funds held large short positions.
Brazilian flooding and dryness in safrinha corn tighten near-term supplies and support feed grain prices. Fund short covering adds upward momentum.
larsongrain.comMay 3, 2024After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
May 3 follow-through buying in soybeans and meal on Brazil heavy rain and flooding, supporting the supply-risk premium.
May 3 follow-through buying in soybeans and meal on Brazil flooding supports the supply-risk driver.
Follow-through buying in soybeans and meal on May 3 amid Brazil flooding, with funds covering shorts, contributed to the early part of the window's rally.
Follow-through buying in soybeans and meal on Brazil flooding added to the weekly gain.
