
June live cattle rose $1.075 to $244.35/cwt, a contract high, and May feeder cattle gained to $368.00. India is cutting vegetable oil imports after the Iran war drove up prices and fuel shortages, with domestic edible oil prices up as much as 17% in a month.
Import costs rose about 25%, and DMC payments of $1.04/cwt were triggered for some participants.
Cattle futures strengthened on tight cash supply and chart-based buying, supporting feedlot and feeder cattle values. India's sharp drop in vegetable oil demand weakens palm oil export demand from Indonesia and Malaysia.
After 78 past bullish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 47 past bullish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 158 past bearish trade events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.