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Sources say China is comfortable with a weaker yuan and will intervene mainly to prevent rapid declines or restore confidence, a less interventionist stance than in 2015. The shift is framed against slowing economic momentum and the heated trade dispute with the United States.
A tolerance for a weaker yuan lowers the cost of Chinese imports from the US in local currency terms only if the decline continues, so it keeps pressure on US export prices in dollar terms.
reuters.comKevin YaoJul 4, 2018After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
