The yuan fell to its weakest level since 2023 as the central bank appeared tolerant of some depreciation. Analysts noted a weaker currency would make exports cheaper while risking capital outflows.
A softer yuan can make Chinese buyers of US soybeans and meal less willing to pay up, though the effect on feed prices is indirect.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.