◂ Event Timeline

Jul 30, 2018TRADEUS

Pork profits vanishing

Purdue livestock economist Chris Hurt warns that large pork supplies and trade disruptions have farmers worried about the fourth quarter of 2018. He expects tariffs to weaken demand on top of heavy production coming to market.

WHY IT MATTERS

Combining record supply with tariff-driven export losses points to weaker domestic pork prices and shrinking producer margins. The commentary reflects expectations rather than a new policy change.

AFFECTSLean Hogs▼

SOURCE
iowafarmbureau.comJul 30, 2018

Price reaction & history

Lean Hogs▼bearishSO FAR1d -1.2%5d -7.3%20d -22.7%

After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.

Jul 30, 2018Tyson says tariffs and meat glut are eating into its profit-7.3%
Sep 25, 2017Pork demand being challenged by record large production-3.1%
Dec 30, 2018With falling prices, U.S. pork seeks new world markets | AP News+1.7%
May 1, 2025China cancels U.S. pork shipments after tariffs raise prices-0.1%
Jul 12, 2017China/Hong Kong’s pork imports declining from ’16 record highs-6.4%

Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.

Lean Hogs HOGS · GP ▸

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