
Rabobank analysts predict that a bottleneck in meat processing, driven by labor shortages, will push livestock prices lower. The Feedstuffs report was published July 31, 2018.
Processing constraints cap packer throughput, which can depress live cattle and hog prices while holding up supply on farms.
After 29 past bearish logistics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.5%), and -3.7% over 20.
After 11 past bearish logistics events, Lean Hogs moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.