U.S. officials say a ransomware attack on meatpacker JBS was likely carried out from Russia. JBS plants have remained closed, and U.S. beef and pork prices were already rising as China increased imports and feed costs climbed.
Analysts say consumer impact depends on how long the plants stay shut.
Plant closures reduce packing capacity, which can push cash cattle and hog prices lower and tighten the meat supply chain, while feed demand may soften.
After 29 past bearish logistics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.5%), and -3.7% over 20.
After 11 past bearish logistics events, Lean Hogs moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and -6.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.