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Oklahoma State extension specialist Derrell Peel said feeder and fed cattle markets were in a summer lull ahead of Labor Day. He expects pronounced initial reactions to the Tyson plant fire in Kansas, which lost about 4-5% of U.S. slaughter capacity.
Steiner Consulting Group noted that less beef will be available in the short term.
Reduced slaughter capacity will tighten boxed beef supply and shift cattle flows to other plants. This points to lower cash and feeder cattle prices until capacity is restored.
feedstuffs.comKrissa WelshansAug 15, 2019After 29 past bearish logistics events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.5%), and -3.7% over 20.
After 20 past bearish logistics events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.0%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Analysts expected pronounced initial market reactions to the fire, which took out 4-5% of slaughter capacity during a summer lull, reinforcing the sentiment-driven decline.
