The Brazilian grain industry is still feeling effects from an 11-day truckers' strike in May, according to a USDA GAIN report dated July 26. The strike led to a minimum freight rate policy that the CNA estimates raised freight rates by 50% to 150%, and USDA put losses to agriculture at $1.75 billion.
Higher trucking costs and slower grain flows in Brazil's CenterWest region raise the delivered cost of corn and soybeans to ports, supporting Brazilian export prices and reducing export competitiveness.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 167 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.9%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.