U.S. says farmers could get cash aid by October but will not be made whole

After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Mar 11, 2020U.S. farmers still dependent on trade aid after China deal-5.6%
• Jul 16, 2020Here’s why some farmers get Uncle Sam’s help while others don't+1.5%
• Oct 29, 2018U.S. agriculture chief says no plan to extend farm aid to offset tariffs+3.6%
• Sep 10, 2024Will Congress negotiate a new farm bill this fall? Farmers hope so - Marketplace+0.5%
• Jul 14, 2020‘Here’s your check’: Trump’s massive payouts to farmers will be hard to pull back - POLITICO+3.0%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.

• Mar 11, 2020U.S. farmers still dependent on trade aid after China deal-6.0%
• Jul 16, 2020Here’s why some farmers get Uncle Sam’s help while others don't+0.8%
• Sep 10, 2024Will Congress negotiate a new farm bill this fall? Farmers hope so - Marketplace+4.0%
• Sep 26, 2022U.S. farmers urge Washington to challenge Mexico's looming ban on GM corn-1.4%
• Jul 14, 2020‘Here’s your check’: Trump’s massive payouts to farmers will be hard to pull back - POLITICO-1.1%