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Analyst Dorab Mistry said Malaysian palm oil futures must fall to 2,100 ringgit a tonne to regain export competitiveness, after a 12% decline this year. Weak demand in India and Turkey, weaker emerging market currencies and a planned India import duty hike are cited.
Mistry cut his 2018 Malaysian output forecast to 19.2-19.5 million tonnes.
Weak import demand from India and a currency-driven loss of competitiveness point to continued pressure on palm oil export prices. Possible Indian duty changes are a key swing factor for vegoil demand.
thestar.com.myThe Star OnlineAug 29, 2018After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
