
Ukraine had exported 5.02 million tons of grain in MY2018/19 as of August 29, 2018, 694 thousand tons less than a year earlier. Barley exports were down 561 thousand tons, wheat down 142 thousand tons and corn down 35 thousand tons.
Ukrainian soybean harvesting also began in several regions.
Ukraine's running export deficit, led by barley, tightens Black Sea feed grain availability and supports prices, while early soybean harvest adds modest oilseed supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.