
U.S. WTI crude settled down over 3% at $60.07 after investors reassessed Trump's tariff reversal and a deepening U.S.-China trade war. The EIA cut its global economic growth and oil demand forecasts, citing tariff effects.
Lower official demand forecasts and recession risk keep a cap on energy prices, which in turn weighs on biofuel feedstock values and demand sentiment across the commodity complex.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.