
HSBC Vietnam expects the dong to lose 0.5 to 1 percent against the dollar by year end as the Chinese yuan keeps sliding. The yuan hit a 19-month low in early October after the PBOC cut reserve requirements again, and the Fed rate hike strengthened the dollar.
A weaker yuan and dollar strength pressure regional currencies and raise the cost of imported feed inputs priced in dollars. The effect on feed prices is modest given the small expected move.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.