
The dollar held gains against most currencies on 13 March as investors sought liquid assets amid the coronavirus panic. A blowout in swap spreads showed a shortage of dollars, and the Fed provided $1.5 trillion in short-term liquidity.
Italy effectively locked down the entire country.
Rising dollar demand and the Fed's liquidity response push the dollar higher against other currencies, which can weigh on dollar-priced commodities and raise import costs for non-US feed buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 13 March the dollar kept gaining as a swap-spread blowout showed a dollar shortage and investors sought liquid assets, which added to the pressure on the euro within the window.
On 13 March the dollar kept its gains as a dollar shortage showed up in blown-out swap spreads, which began the dollar-funding squeeze that weighed on the euro in the days before 17 March.