
The dollar was little changed against major currencies in thin holiday trading, while the cost of swapping yen for dollars rose as banks sought year-end funding. US two-year yields reached a nine-year high after strong November consumer spending and capital goods data.
Higher US short-term yields and rising rate-hike expectations support the dollar, which can weigh on dollar-denominated feed commodity prices. The move is mainly financial-market activity rather than a grain-specific driver.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.