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ETF Securities reported commodity prices rose 1.3% in September, led by energy and industrial metals, while the US dollar basket fell about 1%. It noted the US imposed 10% tariffs on a further $200bn of Chinese imports and said grains slumped while livestock and softs rebounded.
Grains weakness and livestock rebound shape feed input pricing, and a weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities. Tariff escalation adds trade-flow uncertainty for soy and grain exports.
fundresearch.deETF SecuritiesOct 3, 2018After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 78 past bullish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.2%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
