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Ukraine's staple grain exports for 2021/22 reached 12.12 million tonnes by 22 September, up 12% year on year. Wheat accounted for 7.2 million tonnes, and barley shipments rose to 3.3 million tonnes.
Brisk Ukrainian shipments add supply to export markets, a mildly bearish factor for wheat and barley prices.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.