
A bi-monthly swine disease surveillance update reports 30 African swine fever outbreaks in China since last August, with seven in October alone, five of them in Liaoning. It also covers ASF in wild boar in Belgium, classical swine fever in Brazil and Japan, and foot-and-mouth disease in Colombia.
The continued October outbreak count in China signals that the pig herd contraction there is not yet under control, supporting higher pork prices and reduced feed demand. The Belgian and Brazilian cases add to global disease risk for pork supply.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.