
Global African swine fever and foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks have reached high levels, with ASF reported in more than 71 countries and territories. The article highlights new outbreaks in European commercial farms and vaccine challenges in Africa, and stresses border biosecurity for the U.S. herd, where ASF has not been detected.
ASF remains absent from the U.S., which supports export demand for American pork while the disease spreads abroad. A U.S. detection would be a major bearish shock to hog prices.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.