WOAH notifications for 21 to 27 September show African swine fever in wild boar across eight European countries and in domestic pigs in Serbia, Romania and Laos. Highly pathogenic avian influenza was also reported in US poultry and wild birds, with 238,000 poultry culled.
Continued ASF in domestic pig herds in Europe and Asia tightens pork supply and can support hog prices. Poultry culls add modest pressure on chicken supply.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.