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Brazil's real and stocks rose after Jair Bolsonaro's incoming government chose Roberto Campos Neto, a Santander Brasil executive, to replace central bank chief Ilan Goldfajn, pending congressional approval. The Mexican peso weakened as emerging markets were pressured by Brexit uncertainty, after the Mexican central bank raised its overnight rate.
A stable, market-friendly central bank in Brazil supports the real, which lowers the cost of dollar-priced grain and meal imports for Brazilian buyers. A weaker peso raises Mexico's costs for dollar-priced feed ingredients.
reuters.comNov 16, 2018After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
