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CBOT May wheat rose about 4% on Monday to a one-month high, driven by flour millers buying amid consumer stockpiling during COVID-19. Chinese importers bought 340,000 tonnes of US hard red winter wheat, their first such purchase since 2017.
Soybeans rose on soymeal demand, while corn was little changed as ethanol margins were squeezed by lower crude.
New Chinese HRW purchases and strong domestic milling demand tighten wheat supplies. Soymeal demand supports feed protein prices, while weak ethanol margins cap corn.
agcanada.comAGCanadaMar 23, 2020After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 23 March ethanol margins were squeezed by lower crude, so corn lagged while wheat and soybeans rose; this supports an energy-driven demand drag specific to corn.
