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Oil settled up about 2.5% after Washington sanctioned Venezuelan state oil company PDVSA, which may curb Venezuelan crude exports. WTI settled at $53.31 and Brent near $61.32.
Venezuela's heavy crude exports to the U.S. are at risk, which could tighten heavy-crude supply to Gulf refiners and lift crude prices. Ample global supply and China's slowdown are limiting the upside.
cnbc.comReutersJan 29, 2019After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
